High prices, war in Iran and falling approval ratings have transformed Trump from an asset into a potential liability for Republican candidates. The Democrats hope to regain control of Congress, but the Senate remains in the balance and distrust of both parties means that voter turnout will be decisive. The uncertainties surrounding the mid-term elections, according to American pollsters interviewed by Il Foglio    

The new electoral law, which excludes anyone not part of a coalition; the government’s indifference; and the one-dimensional nature of the proposals. The combination of these factors has led to the normalisation of the Fn phenomenon, which is now falling in the polls

Over the last two weeks, Futuro Nazionale has lost 1.1 per cent and fallen to 6.1 per cent, the same percentage as the Carroccio. The PD has risen to 20.2 per cent, whilst the M5S and AVS have fallen to 11.9 per cent and 6.2 per cent respectively. The Prime Minister’s party stands at 27.9 per cent. The survey for Agi

Futuro Nazionale falls to 7.2 per cent (-0.5) and Forza Italia (7.4) returns as the country’s fourth-largest political force. FdI stands at 27.2 per cent, the Lega at 6 per cent. Among the wider political spectrum, only Avs (6.4 per cent) is on the rise, whilst the PD (20.1 per cent) and M5S (12.4 per cent) are down. The survey for Agi

The general has seen his popularity drop for the first time in the polls, and his Instagram figures are no longer what they used to be. This setback also affects his alter ego, ‘Robertus Vannaccius’ – a page from which AI-generated content is posted, in which the FnV leader is depicted, for example, as a Roman emperor.

According to YouTrend, Futuro Nazionale remains steady at 7.7 per cent, FdI rises to 26.8 (+0.2), and the Lega to 5.7. FI and Nm remain stable at 7.4 and 1.1 respectively. Among the opposition, the Democrats lose 0.7 per cent and fall to 20.4 per cent, the M5S reaches 12.8 per cent, and Avs drops to 6.3 per cent. The survey for Agi

According to the director of the Piepoli Institute, if the former general were to join the coalition, “he would certainly bring his 8 per cent, but it would have some negative consequences for the alliance: it would further mobilise the centre-left electorate, bring Calenda into the broad coalition and cause a decline in votes for the other centre-right parties”.

FdI remains stable at 26.5 per cent, whilst the PD loses over one percentage point and the Lega gains 0.8 per cent. Furthermore, 51 per cent of centre-right voters would like the former general to join the coalition, whilst in the event of a primary between Schlein and Conte, the PD secretary would win. Polls for Sky Tg24

According to a SWG poll, the former general continues to gain ground (7.9 per cent), overtaking the League (5.5) and Forza Italia (6.9). Meanwhile, YouTrend has carried out simulations for SkyTg 24 on what would happen if the election were held under the Rosatellum or the Stabilicum: without the National Front, the centre-right would emerge defeated from the broad coalition.