istat - Il Foglio

underestimation

Next year’s GDP and that puzzle that is still poorly understood

Istat has revised its growth forecast upwards, as it has done for several years now. It is time to review the models, particularly productivity per employee

Guido Ascari

e Riccardo Trezzi

23 SEP 26

summing up

The ‘little hands’ of Istat and its subsidiaries. Meloni lambasts those who ‘underestimate’. Budget chaos and a dig at Mattarella

According to the Ministry of Economy and Finance (MEF), “it was a delicate moment, but not everyone realised it”. The story of a country that gets hung up on the length of skirts yet remains in breach of the rules by a decimal point

Carmelo Caruso

23 SEP 26

The data

Istat confirms: 2025 deficit at 3.1 per cent. Italy remains subject to infringement proceedings

The national statistics office has confirmed the April estimate. Giorgetti: “We take note of the figures, not without regret.” Meanwhile, Salvini describes it as “surreal to be dependent on ‘zero point’ logic”. The debt stands at 136.7 per cent of GDP, up from 134.2 per cent in 2024

Redazione

22 SEP 26

Cautious optimism

Italian industrial output takes the doomsayers by surprise

Istat figures show a 0.7 per cent increase, well above the forecasts made at the start of the year. All industrial sectors are growing, with the exception of energy. However, some remain sceptical.

Dario Di Vico

11 SEP 26

Estimates to be reviewed

Surprise: Istat says GDP and employment are performing better than expected

Employment at an all-time high, fixed-term contracts on the decline and growth driven by consumer spending. The oil shock has been handled well; now we must tackle the gas shock. The employment rate stands at 62.3 per cent, an all-time high

Luciano Capone

1 SEP 26

Total items: 5

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