The reasons behind young people’s viewsFavours for the elderly, a debt to their children. The intergenerational inequalities behind the protestsViolence on the fringes of demonstrations must not overshadow the reasons for dissent. In Italy, spending on education is falling, spending on pensions is rising, the debt is being passed on to future generations and wages are stagnating. It is no surprise that so many are leaving and that those who remain are discontentedbyLorenzo Bini Smaghi24 OCT 26
The analysisNational authorities are putting the brakes on ESMA, and Europe remains fragmentedThe battle over strengthening ESMA shows how the interests of national authorities continue to hold back the integration of European financial markets. Between powers to be defended and stock exchanges excluded from common supervision, Europe remains fragmented, whilst companies struggle to grow (and shift capital to Wall Street).byLorenzo Bini Smaghi17 OCT 26
THE ANALYSISThe real tax burden is public spending, which continues to riseThe only way forward is to reduce the overall level of spending and improve its quality. Promising more spending ultimately means raising taxes. For everyonebyLorenzo Bini Smaghi10 OCT 26
rising pricesEnergy crisis, inflation and AI are driving up interest ratesA prudent budget and monetary measures to reassure the markets. Now more than ever, we need to stay the course and avoid improvisingbyLorenzo Bini Smaghi3 OCT 26
The analysisEurope and Istat, the scapegoats for a deficit that was off by one decimal placeThe reduction in Italy’s deficit is good news, even if it does not yet allow the country to exit the infringement procedure. It should serve as an encouragement to do better next year, without looking for shortcutsbyLorenzo Bini Smaghi26 SEP 26
The analysisThe silver lining (for Europe) of Iceland’s ‘No’ to EU membershipThe debate over whether to deepen or enlarge the Union cannot be sidestepped, particularly in the new geopolitical context. Admitting further countries at a time when the aim is to strengthen integration and overcome national resistance in order to foster the creation of European sovereignty risks being a serious mistakebyLorenzo Bini Smaghi19 SEP 26
The analysisExplain the AfD in terms of businesses and governments that are stuck in their ways, not in terms of ‘evil Europe’The cause of populism does not lie with European institutions and policies, but rather in the inability of governments and the business community to adopt policies that promote innovation and strengthen the social fabric in order to help the most vulnerablebyLorenzo Bini Smaghi12 SEP 26
THE ANALYSISA mountain of debt and inflation are sending shockwaves through all the marketsGovernment bond yields are rising in advanced economies, driven by inflation and growing public debt. China is an exception and is keeping rates low thanks to its control over the banking system, albeit at the cost of weaker consumption and growth.byLorenzo Bini Smaghi5 SEP 26
Trump’s inflationMarkets fear that the US will monetise its record debt. The way outIf necessary, the new Chairman of the Federal Reserve, Kevin Warsh, will raise interest rates. Whether the US President likes it or notbyLorenzo Bini Smaghi22 AUG 26
incorrect topicsItaly’s absurd obsession with banks’ windfall profitsAmid the debate on the Budget Bill, discussion has returned to the infamous tax, which, however, raises problems from various perspectives: it is not only unjustified, it is a mistake in economic policybyLorenzo Bini Smaghi15 AUG 26