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A new wave of attacks against Iran has begun in the Strait of Hormuz
The regime has attacked two merchant ships; the United States wants to prevent Tehran from regaining its ability to threaten the Strait. The plan
A stalemate means that nothing can change, and the United States has decided to launch a new campaign against Iran’s ability to threaten the Strait of Hormuz, to ensure that what has been destroyed is not rebuilt. Shipping through the Strait has resumed in recent weeks, and as long as vessels can transit, Tehran is unable to exert the leverage on which its negotiating position with the United States also depends. The American assessment is that the Iranian regime is attempting to rebuild its capacity to threaten ships and block shipping. It is relying primarily on mines – weapons that armies never lack – which Tehran is laying on the seabed, even using rockets such as the Fajr-5, first demonstrated during a military exercise in 2025.
Iran wants to increase the risks for vessels passing through the Strait of Hormuz, thereby prompting insurance companies to stop covering the route: ships are being attacked, but if the risks rise, there is no need to actually strike them – the threat alone is enough to paralyse traffic. The US military has stated that it has carried out new attacks against Iranian targets after Tehran attempted to strike two merchant ships. Washington is striking to prevent Iran from rebuilding its capabilities, thereby depriving the regime of its leverage over the Strait of Hormuz. In recent weeks, the United States had managed to partially restore shipping traffic, relying in part on the assistance of vessels willing to cooperate with the US military, whilst simultaneously maintaining the blockade of Iranian ports. With every new U.S. attack, Tehran has so far responded by striking countries in the Middle East that host U.S. bases, foremost among them Jordan. The regime is vowing revenge.